90th Academy Awards Nominations – My Thoughts

The nominees for the 90th Annual Academy Awards were announced yesterday morning and while a lot of the expected favorites performed extremely well, there were a ton of genuine surprises. “The Shape of Water” got 13 nominations, the most of any film this year, while “Phantom Thread,” “Darkest Hour,” and “The Post” managed to get Best Picture nominations. I’ll be going over the entire list of nominees and discussing my thoughts on the top eight categories as well as list off my early predictions for what I think will win, what could win, what should win, and what got snubbed in each category with the exception of the ones that I haven’t seen enough to make a proper judgement. Let’s begin!

pt

BEST PICTURE:

“Call Me By Your Name”
“Darkest Hour”
“Dunkirk”
“Get Out”
“Lady Bird”
“Phantom Thread”
“The Post”
“The Shape of Water”
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

I love this lineup! With the exception of two of the nominees, all of these are excellent films with a unique perspective. Thrilled to see that “Phantom Thread” was able to surprise and get nominated here along with some other major categories we’ll get to later. I would have personally substituted “Darkest Hour” and “The Post” with “The Florida Project,” “The Big Sick” or even “Blade Runner 2049,” but at least they aren’t bad films that don’t deserve to be considered like some movies that have been nominated here in the past. It seems like the frontrunners right now for a win are “The Shape of Water,” “Three Billboards,” and “Lady Bird” although don’t discount “Get Out” here.

Will Win: “The Shape of Water”
Could Win: “Lady Bird”
Should Win: “Get Out”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Florida Project”

pta

BEST DIRECTOR:

Christopher Nolan, “Dunkirk”
Jordan Peele, “Get Out”
Greta Gerwig, “Lady Bird”
Paul Thomas Anderson, “Phantom Thread”
Guillermo del Toro, “The Shape of Water”

It’s been a long time since the Best Director lineup has been this good. It most definitely is the best lineup for this category in this decade. Every single one of these nominees are inspired and worthy of the recognition. Paul Thomas Anderson getting a nomination instead of Martin McDonagh for current favorite “Three Billboards” was a huge shock, but one that I was personally hoping for. Even if I might have made room for Sean Baker to be nominated for his remarkable work on “The Florida Project,” I can’t make a case against any of these nominees that they shouldn’t be on the list. It’s also tremendous that Jordan Peele and Greta Gerwig both got recognition for their transitions from acting to directing.

Will Win: Guillermo del Toro, “The Shape of Water”
Could Win: Greta Gerwig, “Lady Bird”
Should Win: Guillermo del Toro, “The Shape of Water”
Should Have Been Nominated: Sean Baker, “The Florida Project”

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BEST ACTOR:

Timothee Chalamet, “Call Me By Your Name”
Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread”
Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out”
Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”
Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”

First off, I want to mention that while it’s good that James Franco was not nominated here in the midst of the accusations against him for sexual misconduct, it’s disappointing that his replacement here was Denzel Washington for an unusually bad performance in a film that ranks among one of the worst of the year. There are literally dozens of actors like Andy Serkis, Kumail Nanjiani, and Robert Pattinson just to name a few that would have been far more deserving of a nomination. That being said, I’m thrilled that Timothee Chalamet and Daniel Kaluuya got nominated for their incredible performances in “Call Me By Your Name” and “Get Out” respectively. Neither one will win against Gary Oldman, but at least they didn’t get overlooked.

Will Win: Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”
Could Win: Timothee Chalamet, “Call Me By Your Name”
Should Win: Timothee Chalamet, “Call Me By Your Name”
Should Have Been Nominated: Andy Serkis, “War for the Planet of the Apes”

tboem

BEST ACTRESS:

Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water”
Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”
Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”
Meryl Streep, “The Post”

The performances we’ve seen leading women give this year have been just sensational. It’s a shame that there could only be five slots because there were so many that are deserving of being considered for the Best Actress title. That being said, this lineup is pretty much perfect. I might have personally liked to have seen nominations for Brooklynn Prince in “The Florida Project” and Vicky Krieps in “Phantom Thread,” but I can’t even argue against our yearly nominee Meryl Streep for her most deserving nomination in years. Frances McDormand has been on a roll winning top honors at the Golden Globes, Critics Choice, and SAG so expect that to continue on to the Oscars.

Will Win: Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Could Win: Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”
Should Win: Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”
Should Have Been Nominated: Brooklynn Prince, “The Florida Project”

tboemwoodynfrances

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”
Woody Harrelson, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Richard Jenkins, “The Shape of Water”
Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the World”
Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Similar to the Best Actress category, the contenders for Best Supporting Actor were incredibly stacked this year. However this is the first point where I feel like there was an unmistakable snub. The lack of either of the supporting actors from “Call Me By Your Name,” Michael Stuhlbarg in particular, is genuinely disappointing especially considering that two of the slots went to actors from “Three Billboards.” Woody Harrelson gave a strong performance, but certainly not worthy of a nomination. As for Christopher Plummer, while undeniably impressive how quickly he turned in his performance for “All the Money in the World,” the performance feels like one that wouldn’t have made the cut in ordinary circumstances.

Will Win: Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Could Win: Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”
Should Win: Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”
Should Have Been Nominated: Michael Stuhlbarg, “Call Me By Your Name

ptlm

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound”
Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread”
Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”
Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water”

Thrilled to see Lesley Manville get love for her wonderful performance in “Phantom Thread!” This category was looking like slim pickings for nominees, especially when Hong Chau was getting nominations for her terrible performance in “Downsizing,” so it’s exciting that the Academy recognized this beautifully understated role. It would have been fun to see Tiffany Haddish get love for her breakthrough performance in “Girls Trip,” but I’ll take what I can get. This is a two horse race between Allison Janney and Laurie Metcalf and it’s looking more and more like Janney is going to cross the finish line.

Will Win: Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
Could Win: Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”
Should Win: Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”
Should Have Been Nominated: Tiffany Haddish, “Girls Trip”

The Big Sick - Still 1

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

“The Big Sick”
“Get Out”
“Lady Bird”
“The Shape of Water”
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Please, oh please don’t make me choose a favorite among these nominees. They’re all so beautifully written and leave a massive emotional impact. Particularly happy to see “The Big Sick” get in despite missing out on much deserved Picture and Supporting Actress nominations. As for what will win, it’s honestly anybodies race between “Get Out,” “Lady Bird,” and “Three Billboards.” It’s going to be interesting to see what pulls ahead.

Will Win: “Lady Bird”
Could Win: “Get Out”
Should Win: “Get Out”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Phantom Thread”

logan

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

“Call Me By Your Name”
“The Disaster Artist”
“Logan”
“Molly’s Game”
“Mudbound”

“Logan” became the first comic book film in history to be nominated for a screenplay Oscar, a feat that even “The Dark Knight” couldn’t accomplish nearly a decade ago. It’s great to see such a great screenplay be recognized here and not be shoved aside because of the genre it’s part of. But let’s be honest here, the winner is going to be “Call Me By Your Name.” Nothing else comes close, not even Aaron Sorkin.

Will Win: “Call Me By Your Name”
Could Win: “Molly’s Game”
Should Win: “Call Me By Your Name”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Blade Runner 2049”

tbb

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:

“The Boss Baby”
“The Breadwinner”
“Coco”
“Ferdinand”
“Loving Vincent”

Will Win: “Coco”
Could Win: “The Breadwinner”
Should Win: “Coco”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Lego Batman Movie”

fp

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:

“Abacus: Small Enough to Jail”
“Faces Places”
“Icarus”
“Last Men in Aleppo”
“Strong Island”

Will Win: “Faces Places”
Could Win: “Icarus”

tsq

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:

“A Fantastic Woman”
“The Insult”
“Loveless”
“On Body and Soul”
“The Square”

Will Win: “A Fantastic Woman”
Could Win: “The Square”
Should Win: “A Fantastic Woman”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Raw”

mb

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

“Blade Runner 2049”
“Darkest Hour”
“Dunkirk”
“Mudbound”
“The Shape of Water”

Will Win: “Blade Runner 2049”
Could Win: “Dunkirk”
Should Win: “Blade Runner 2049”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Florida Project”

ptcostumes

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

“Beauty and the Beast”
“Darkest Hour”
“Phantom Thread”
“The Shape of Water”
“Victoria & Abdul”

Will Win: “Phantom Thread”
Could Win: “Beauty and the Beast”
Should Win: “Phantom Thread”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Beguiled”

itonya

BEST FILM EDITING:

“Baby Driver”
“Dunkirk”
“I, Tonya”
“The Shape of Water”
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Will Win: “Dunkirk”
Could Win: “Baby Driver”
Should Win: “Dunkirk”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Florida Project”

wonder

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:

“Darkest Hour”
“Victoria & Abdul”
“Wonder”

Will Win: “Wonder”
Could Win: “Darkest Hour”
Should Win: “Wonder”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2”

swtljcrait

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:

“Dunkirk”
“Phantom Thread”
“The Shape of Water”
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi”
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Will Win: “The Shape of Water”
Could Win: “Phantom Thread”
Should Win: “The Shape of Water”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Blade Runner 2049”

tgs

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:

“Mighty River,” “Mudbound”
“Mystery of Love,” “Call Me By Your Name”
“Remember Me,” “Coco”
“Stand Up For Something,” “Marshall”
“This Is Me,” “The Greatest Showman”

Will Win: “Remember Me,” “Coco”
Could Win: “This Is Me,” “The Greatest Showman”
Should Win: “Remember Me,” “Coco”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Visions of Gideon,” “Call Me By Your Name”

br20491

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:

“Beauty and the Beast”
“Blade Runner 2049”
“Darkest Hour”
“Dunkirk”
“The Shape of Water”

Will Win: “The Shape of Water”
Could Win: “Blade Runner 2049”
Should Win: “Blade Runner 2049”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Star Wars: The Last Jedi”

swtlj1

BEST SOUND EDITING:

“Baby Driver”
“Blade Runner 2049”
“Dunkirk”
“The Shape of Water”
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi”

Will Win: “Dunkirk”
Could Win: “Baby Driver”
Should Win: “Dunkirk”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Get Out”

baby

BEST SOUND MIXING:

“Baby Driver”
“Blade Runner 2049”
“Dunkirk”
“The Shape of Water”
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi”

Will Win: “Dunkirk”
Could Win: “Baby Driver”
Should Win: “Dunkirk”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Get Out”

ksi

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

“Blade Runner 2049”
“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2”
“Kong: Skull Island”
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi”
“War for the Planet of the Apes”

Will Win: “War for the Planet of the Apes”
Could Win: “Blade Runner 2049”
Should Win: “War for the Planet of the Apes”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Shape of Water”

db

BEST ANIMATED SHORT:

“Dear Basketball”
“Garden Party”
“Lou”
“Negative Space”
“Revolting Rhymes”

Will Win: “Dear Basketball”
Could Win: “Lou”

dke

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT:

“DeKalb Elementary”
“The Eleven O’Clock”
“My Nephew Emmett”
“The Silent Child”
“Watu Wote/All of Us”

Will Win: “DeKalb Elementary”
Could Win: “The Silent Child”

h(e)

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT:

“Edith+Eddie”
“Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405”
“Heroin(e)”
“Knife Skills”
“Traffic Stop”

Will Win: “Edith+Eddie”
Could Win: “Heroin(e)”

So there it is! What do you guys think of this years Oscar nominees? Any of your favorites got overlooked? Anything you feel didn’t deserve to be nominated? Leave a comment down below with some of your picks as well as what you think will end up winning some of those coveted awards.

You can read reviews for the following Oscar-nominated films here:

“Call Me By Your Name”
“Coco”
“Phantom Thread”
“The Post”
“The Shape of Water”
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (SPOILER-FREE)
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (SPOILER-FILLED)
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

I’ll be posting reviews for Best Picture nominees “Darkest Hour,” “Dunkirk,” “Get Out,” and “Lady Bird” in the coming weeks as we get closer to the Oscars. Stay tuned for that!

If you want to stay updated with all my reviews of films as soon as I see them, follow me on my Letterboxd.

Thanks for reading!

 

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